EMR market to grow even without carrot

EMR market to grow even without carrot

“Growth will continue at approximately 13.4 percent for 2015-2019.”

The $25 billion EMR market will continue to grow even after the government incentives for doctors and hospitals to go digital have vanished, according to an “EMR 2015: The Market for Electronic Medical Records,” a new report from research firm Kalorama Information

“Expect a fair amount of competition and stable growth next few years, without incentives boosting the market,” said Bruce Carlson, publisher of Kalorama Information, in a statement. “Eventually, there will be market saturation, but this is a bit of a way off, especially in emerging markets.”

Moreover, Kalorama forecasts the market will continue to grow well past the period where there are incentives for healthcare providers. Penalties, system upgrades, international sales and continued efficiency improvements will grow the market 7 percent to 8 percent each year for the next five years, according to the report. The market for EMR systems continues to increase as more physicians and hospitals use EMRs and acquire EMR systems, and as hospitals and physician groups upgrade existing systems.

Incentives for EMR use are one driver for the market, but there is also, starting in 2015, a penalty for not using EMR, researchers point out. There are two components to the ARRA’ EMR incentive programs: One is positive or ‘carrot’ to encourage conversion, and the second is a ‘stick’ to discourage paper records over time. Those physicians who do not adopt EMRs by 2015 will face a reduction of 1 percent in their Medicare payments, increasing to a 2 percent reduction in 2016 and a 3 percent reduction in 2017 and beyond.

The incentive has prompted increased EMR use among physicians, the group vendors and the government have been targeting, the report notes. Initially the market was boosted from $6.7 billion in incentive payments to physicians as of 2014.
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